Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.230719 0.272947 0.318036 0.369483 0.426285 0.486818 0.555938
2024-10-20 0.170124 0.226032 0.290152 0.368014 0.458909 0.560628 0.682017
2024-10-27 0.132716 0.197166 0.276151 0.377425 0.501245 0.645279 0.823044
2024-11-03 0.105778 0.175451 0.266404 0.388881 0.544705 0.731888 0.969235
2024-11-10 0.085075 0.157587 0.258207 0.399941 0.586716 0.817325 1.116396
2024-11-17 0.064028 0.134624 0.239424 0.394187 0.605493 0.873504 1.228657
2024-11-24 0.050612 0.120194 0.230124 0.399330 0.637390 0.946096 1.362347
2024-12-01 0.037807 0.103473 0.214683 0.393560 0.653091 0.997182 1.469134
2024-12-08 0.026395 0.085778 0.194719 0.378543 0.654007 1.027599 1.548877
2024-12-15 0.021000 0.078481 0.190658 0.386721 0.687356 1.101568 1.686353
2024-12-22 0.014828 0.067039 0.177395 0.378795 0.696190 1.141635 1.779086
2024-12-29 0.012588 0.064610 0.180253 0.396895 0.743864 1.236045 1.945858
2025-01-05 0.009076 0.057141 0.172519 0.397083 0.765121 1.295082 2.067664
2025-01-12 0.006514 0.051044 0.166467 0.399437 0.789477 1.358848 2.196968
2025-01-19 0.005055 0.047929 0.166210 0.411800 0.829683 1.445978 2.359725
2025-01-26 0.003941 0.045388 0.166765 0.425448 0.872112 1.536913 2.528895
2025-02-02 0.003007 0.042855 0.166887 0.438128 0.913180 1.626467 2.697289
2025-02-09 0.001786 0.037011 0.157817 0.432566 0.924042 1.671561 2.803754
2025-02-16 0.001167 0.033836 0.154851 0.438384 0.953577 1.744584 2.950350
2025-02-23 0.000581 0.029039 0.146393 0.432444 0.962895 1.787224 3.054071
2025-03-02 0.000183 0.023370 0.133743 0.416554 0.954239 1.802058 3.117744
2025-03-09 0.000087 0.021714 0.132936 0.425353 0.988307 1.882398 3.276539
2025-03-16 0.000012 0.018080 0.124548 0.416942 0.991661 1.915285 3.366714